Isofol Medical (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.13
| ISOFOL Stock | SEK 2.99 0.11 3.82% |
Isofol |
Isofol Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 0.13
The tendency of Isofol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 0.13 or more in 90 days |
| 2.99 | 90 days | 0.13 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Isofol Medical to drop to kr 0.13 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Isofol Medical AB probability density function shows the probability of Isofol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Isofol Medical AB price to stay between kr 0.13 and its current price of kr2.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Isofol Medical AB has a beta of -0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Isofol Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Isofol Medical AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Isofol Medical AB has an alpha of 0.2857, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Isofol Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Isofol Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Isofol Medical AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Isofol Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Isofol Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Isofol Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Isofol Medical AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Isofol Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Isofol Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Isofol Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Isofol Medical AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Isofol Medical AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Isofol Medical AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 22.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (200.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (174.31 M). | |
| Isofol Medical AB has accumulated about 379.45 M in cash with (188.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.93. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Isofol Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Isofol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Isofol Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Isofol Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 379.4 M |
Isofol Medical Technical Analysis
Isofol Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Isofol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Isofol Medical AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Isofol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Isofol Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Isofol Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Isofol Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Isofol Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Isofol Medical AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Isofol Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Isofol Medical AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Isofol Medical AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Isofol Medical AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 22.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (200.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (174.31 M). | |
| Isofol Medical AB has accumulated about 379.45 M in cash with (188.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.93. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Isofol Stock
Isofol Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Isofol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Isofol with respect to the benefits of owning Isofol Medical security.