ITAB Shop (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.16

ITAB Stock   23.30  0.20  0.87%   
ITAB Shop's future price is the expected price of ITAB Shop instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ITAB Shop Concept performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ITAB Shop Backtesting, ITAB Shop Valuation, ITAB Shop Correlation, ITAB Shop Hype Analysis, ITAB Shop Volatility, ITAB Shop History as well as ITAB Shop Performance.
  
Please specify ITAB Shop's target price for which you would like ITAB Shop odds to be computed.

ITAB Shop Target Price Odds to finish over 23.16

The tendency of ITAB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  23.16  in 90 days
 23.30 90 days 23.16 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ITAB Shop to stay above  23.16  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This ITAB Shop Concept probability density function shows the probability of ITAB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ITAB Shop Concept price to stay between  23.16  and its current price of 23.3 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ITAB Shop Concept has a beta of -0.0888. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ITAB Shop are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ITAB Shop Concept is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ITAB Shop Concept has an alpha of 0.1032, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ITAB Shop Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ITAB Shop

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ITAB Shop Concept. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7823.3026.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4620.9824.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.8223.3426.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.0726.5831.10
Details

ITAB Shop Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ITAB Shop is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ITAB Shop's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ITAB Shop Concept, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ITAB Shop within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.0084

ITAB Shop Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ITAB Shop for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ITAB Shop Concept can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ITAB Shop Concept had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
ITAB Shop generates negative cash flow from operations
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ITAB Shop Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ITAB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ITAB Shop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ITAB Shop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding191.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments208 M

ITAB Shop Technical Analysis

ITAB Shop's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ITAB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ITAB Shop Concept. In general, you should focus on analyzing ITAB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ITAB Shop Predictive Forecast Models

ITAB Shop's time-series forecasting models is one of many ITAB Shop's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ITAB Shop's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ITAB Shop Concept

Checking the ongoing alerts about ITAB Shop for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ITAB Shop Concept help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ITAB Shop Concept had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
ITAB Shop generates negative cash flow from operations
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for ITAB Stock Analysis

When running ITAB Shop's price analysis, check to measure ITAB Shop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ITAB Shop is operating at the current time. Most of ITAB Shop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ITAB Shop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ITAB Shop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ITAB Shop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.