Indo Tambangraya Megah Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.71
| ITAYY Stock | USD 3.01 0.02 0.66% |
Indo |
Indo Tambangraya Target Price Odds to finish over 3.71
The tendency of Indo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.71 or more in 90 days |
| 3.01 | 90 days | 3.71 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indo Tambangraya to move over $ 3.71 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Indo Tambangraya Megah probability density function shows the probability of Indo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indo Tambangraya Megah price to stay between its current price of $ 3.01 and $ 3.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Indo Tambangraya has a beta of 0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Indo Tambangraya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indo Tambangraya Megah will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indo Tambangraya Megah has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Indo Tambangraya Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Indo Tambangraya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indo Tambangraya Megah. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indo Tambangraya's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Indo Tambangraya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indo Tambangraya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indo Tambangraya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indo Tambangraya Megah, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indo Tambangraya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Indo Tambangraya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indo Tambangraya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indo Tambangraya Megah can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indo Tambangraya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Indo Tambangraya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indo Tambangraya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indo Tambangraya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Indo Tambangraya Technical Analysis
Indo Tambangraya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indo Tambangraya Megah. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indo Tambangraya Predictive Forecast Models
Indo Tambangraya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indo Tambangraya's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indo Tambangraya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indo Tambangraya Megah
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indo Tambangraya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indo Tambangraya Megah help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indo Tambangraya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Indo Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Indo Tambangraya's price analysis, check to measure Indo Tambangraya's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indo Tambangraya is operating at the current time. Most of Indo Tambangraya's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indo Tambangraya's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indo Tambangraya's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indo Tambangraya to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.