Interlink Telecom (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.33

ITEL Stock  THB 2.16  0.06  2.70%   
Interlink Telecom's future price is the expected price of Interlink Telecom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Interlink Telecom Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Interlink Telecom Backtesting, Interlink Telecom Valuation, Interlink Telecom Correlation, Interlink Telecom Hype Analysis, Interlink Telecom Volatility, Interlink Telecom History as well as Interlink Telecom Performance.
  
Please specify Interlink Telecom's target price for which you would like Interlink Telecom odds to be computed.

Interlink Telecom Target Price Odds to finish over 2.33

The tendency of Interlink Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2.33  or more in 90 days
 2.16 90 days 2.33 
about 17.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Interlink Telecom to move over  2.33  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.8 (This Interlink Telecom Public probability density function shows the probability of Interlink Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Interlink Telecom Public price to stay between its current price of  2.16  and  2.33  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Interlink Telecom Public has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Interlink Telecom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Interlink Telecom Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Interlink Telecom Public has an alpha of 0.1686, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Interlink Telecom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Interlink Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interlink Telecom Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.165.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.844.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.175.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.082.252.43
Details

Interlink Telecom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Interlink Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Interlink Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Interlink Telecom Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Interlink Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Interlink Telecom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Interlink Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Interlink Telecom Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Interlink Telecom had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Interlink Telecom has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Interlink Telecom Public has accumulated 1.24 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 186.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Interlink Telecom Public has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Interlink Telecom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Interlink Telecom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Interlink Telecom Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Interlink to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Interlink Telecom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Interlink Telecom Public has accumulated about 385.01 M in cash with (36.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38.
Roughly 53.0% of Interlink Telecom shares are held by company insiders

Interlink Telecom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Interlink Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Interlink Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interlink Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Short Long Term Debt2.8 B

Interlink Telecom Technical Analysis

Interlink Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Interlink Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Interlink Telecom Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Interlink Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Interlink Telecom Predictive Forecast Models

Interlink Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Interlink Telecom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Interlink Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Interlink Telecom Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Interlink Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Interlink Telecom Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Interlink Telecom had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Interlink Telecom has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Interlink Telecom Public has accumulated 1.24 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 186.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Interlink Telecom Public has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Interlink Telecom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Interlink Telecom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Interlink Telecom Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Interlink to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Interlink Telecom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Interlink Telecom Public has accumulated about 385.01 M in cash with (36.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38.
Roughly 53.0% of Interlink Telecom shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Interlink Stock

Interlink Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Interlink Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Interlink with respect to the benefits of owning Interlink Telecom security.