Itau Total (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 77.55
| ITRI11 Fund | 79.97 0.01 0.01% |
Itau |
Itau Total Target Price Odds to finish below 77.55
The tendency of Itau Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 77.55 or more in 90 days |
| 79.97 | 90 days | 77.55 | nearly 4.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Itau Total to drop to 77.55 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.7 (This Itau Total Return probability density function shows the probability of Itau Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Itau Total Return price to stay between 77.55 and its current price of 79.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Itau Total Return has a beta of -0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Itau Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Itau Total Return is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Itau Total Return has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Itau Total Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Itau Total
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Itau Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Itau Total Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Itau Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Itau Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Itau Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Itau Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
Itau Total Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Itau Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Itau Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Itau Total Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Itau Total Technical Analysis
Itau Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Itau Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Itau Total Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing Itau Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Itau Total Predictive Forecast Models
Itau Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Itau Total's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Itau Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Itau Total Return
Checking the ongoing alerts about Itau Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Itau Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Itau Total Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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