Itau Unibanco Banco Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.49
| ITUB Stock | USD 5.50 0.13 2.42% |
Closest to current price Itau long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Itau |
Itau Unibanco Target Price Odds to finish below 6.49
The tendency of Itau Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 6.49 after 90 days |
| 5.50 | 90 days | 6.49 | about 79.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Itau Unibanco to stay under $ 6.49 after 90 days from now is about 79.87 (This Itau Unibanco Banco probability density function shows the probability of Itau Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Itau Unibanco Banco price to stay between its current price of $ 5.50 and $ 6.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Itau Unibanco has a beta of 0.19. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Itau Unibanco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Itau Unibanco Banco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Itau Unibanco Banco has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Itau Unibanco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Itau Unibanco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Itau Unibanco Banco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Itau Unibanco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Itau Unibanco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Itau Unibanco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Itau Unibanco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Itau Unibanco Banco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Itau Unibanco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Itau Unibanco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Itau Unibanco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Itau Unibanco Banco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Itau Unibanco Banco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Itau Unibanco Banco has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Itau Unibanco Banco currently holds about 366.77 B in cash with (2.42 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 37.42, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Itau Unibanco Banco has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 9th of December 2024 Itau Unibanco paid $ 0.0031 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Itau Unibanco goes ex dividend tomorrow |
Itau Unibanco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Itau Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Itau Unibanco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Itau Unibanco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 B |
Itau Unibanco Technical Analysis
Itau Unibanco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Itau Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Itau Unibanco Banco. In general, you should focus on analyzing Itau Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Itau Unibanco Predictive Forecast Models
Itau Unibanco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Itau Unibanco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Itau Unibanco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Itau Unibanco Banco
Checking the ongoing alerts about Itau Unibanco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Itau Unibanco Banco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Itau Unibanco Banco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Itau Unibanco Banco has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Itau Unibanco Banco currently holds about 366.77 B in cash with (2.42 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 37.42, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Itau Unibanco Banco has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 9th of December 2024 Itau Unibanco paid $ 0.0031 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Itau Unibanco goes ex dividend tomorrow |
Check out Itau Unibanco Backtesting, Itau Unibanco Valuation, Itau Unibanco Correlation, Itau Unibanco Hype Analysis, Itau Unibanco Volatility, Itau Unibanco History as well as Itau Unibanco Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Itau Unibanco. If investors know Itau will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Itau Unibanco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.189 | Dividend Share 1.609 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share 13.51 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Itau Unibanco Banco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Itau that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Itau Unibanco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Itau Unibanco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Itau Unibanco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Itau Unibanco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Itau Unibanco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Itau Unibanco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Itau Unibanco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.