Inventiva (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.88
| IVA Stock | EUR 2.44 0.01 0.41% |
Inventiva |
Inventiva Target Price Odds to finish over 1.88
The tendency of Inventiva Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 1.88 in 90 days |
| 2.44 | 90 days | 1.88 | about 78.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inventiva to stay above € 1.88 in 90 days from now is about 78.81 (This Inventiva SA probability density function shows the probability of Inventiva Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inventiva SA price to stay between € 1.88 and its current price of €2.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inventiva has a beta of 0.72. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inventiva average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inventiva SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inventiva SA has an alpha of 0.2536, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inventiva Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inventiva
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inventiva SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inventiva Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inventiva is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inventiva's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inventiva SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inventiva within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Inventiva Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inventiva for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inventiva SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inventiva SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.48 M. | |
| Inventiva SA has accumulated about 56.69 M in cash with (47.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Inventiva Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inventiva Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inventiva's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inventiva's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 95.4 M |
Inventiva Technical Analysis
Inventiva's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inventiva Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inventiva SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inventiva Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inventiva Predictive Forecast Models
Inventiva's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inventiva's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inventiva's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inventiva SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inventiva for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inventiva SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inventiva SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (49.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.48 M. | |
| Inventiva SA has accumulated about 56.69 M in cash with (47.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Inventiva Stock
When determining whether Inventiva SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Inventiva's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Inventiva Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Inventiva Sa Stock:Check out Inventiva Backtesting, Inventiva Valuation, Inventiva Correlation, Inventiva Hype Analysis, Inventiva Volatility, Inventiva History as well as Inventiva Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..