ILFS Investment (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.94
| IVC Stock | 11.37 0.14 1.22% |
ILFS |
ILFS Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 10.94
The tendency of ILFS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 10.94 in 90 days |
| 11.37 | 90 days | 10.94 | about 83.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ILFS Investment to stay above 10.94 in 90 days from now is about 83.41 (This ILFS Investment Managers probability density function shows the probability of ILFS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ILFS Investment Managers price to stay between 10.94 and its current price of 11.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ILFS Investment has a beta of 0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ILFS Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ILFS Investment Managers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ILFS Investment Managers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ILFS Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ILFS Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ILFS Investment Managers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ILFS Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ILFS Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ILFS Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ILFS Investment Managers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ILFS Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
ILFS Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ILFS Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ILFS Investment Managers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ILFS Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ILFS Investment Managers has accumulated about 156.39 M in cash with (61.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
ILFS Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ILFS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ILFS Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ILFS Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 314 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -277.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.7 |
ILFS Investment Technical Analysis
ILFS Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ILFS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ILFS Investment Managers. In general, you should focus on analyzing ILFS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ILFS Investment Predictive Forecast Models
ILFS Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many ILFS Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ILFS Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ILFS Investment Managers
Checking the ongoing alerts about ILFS Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ILFS Investment Managers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ILFS Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ILFS Investment Managers has accumulated about 156.39 M in cash with (61.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ILFS Stock
ILFS Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether ILFS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ILFS with respect to the benefits of owning ILFS Investment security.