Iveda Solutions Warrant Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0258
| IVDAW Stock | USD 0.04 0.01 20.04% |
Iveda |
Iveda Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0258
The tendency of Iveda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 19.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iveda Solutions to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.95 (This Iveda Solutions Warrant probability density function shows the probability of Iveda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iveda Solutions Warrant price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $0.0395 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Iveda Solutions Warrant has a beta of -2.1. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Iveda Solutions Warrant are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Iveda Solutions is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Iveda Solutions Warrant has an alpha of 9.2524, implying that it can generate a 9.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Iveda Solutions Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Iveda Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iveda Solutions Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Iveda Solutions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iveda Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iveda Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iveda Solutions Warrant, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iveda Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 9.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Iveda Solutions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iveda Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iveda Solutions Warrant can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Iveda Solutions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Iveda Solutions has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Iveda Solutions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Iveda Solutions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Iveda Solutions Warrant has accumulated 348.77 K in total debt. Iveda Solutions Warrant has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Iveda Solutions' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 6.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Iveda Solutions Warrant has accumulated about 1.39 M in cash with (2.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Iveda Solutions has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Iveda Solutions Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Iveda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Iveda Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iveda Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 1.9 M |
Iveda Solutions Technical Analysis
Iveda Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iveda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iveda Solutions Warrant. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iveda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Iveda Solutions Predictive Forecast Models
Iveda Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Iveda Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iveda Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Iveda Solutions Warrant
Checking the ongoing alerts about Iveda Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iveda Solutions Warrant help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Iveda Solutions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Iveda Solutions has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Iveda Solutions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Iveda Solutions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Iveda Solutions Warrant has accumulated 348.77 K in total debt. Iveda Solutions Warrant has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Iveda Solutions' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 6.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Iveda Solutions Warrant has accumulated about 1.39 M in cash with (2.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Iveda Solutions has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for Iveda Stock Analysis
When running Iveda Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Iveda Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Iveda Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Iveda Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Iveda Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Iveda Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Iveda Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.