Invesco Mortgage Capital Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 24.17
| IVR-PC Preferred Stock | USD 24.39 0.59 2.48% |
Invesco |
Invesco Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish below 24.17
The tendency of Invesco Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 24.17 or more in 90 days |
| 24.39 | 90 days | 24.17 | about 16.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Mortgage to drop to $ 24.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.29 (This Invesco Mortgage Capital probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Mortgage Capital price to stay between $ 24.17 and its current price of $24.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invesco Mortgage has a beta of 0.0951. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Invesco Mortgage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Mortgage Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Mortgage Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Invesco Mortgage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Mortgage Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco Mortgage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Mortgage Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Invesco Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Mortgage Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Invesco Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Invesco Mortgage has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Invesco Mortgage Capital has accumulated 14.36 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 691.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Invesco Mortgage Capital has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Invesco Mortgage until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Invesco Mortgage's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Invesco Mortgage Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Invesco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Invesco Mortgage's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (90 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (62.53 M). |
Invesco Mortgage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 373.9 M |
Invesco Mortgage Technical Analysis
Invesco Mortgage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Mortgage Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Mortgage Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Mortgage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Mortgage's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Mortgage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Mortgage Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Mortgage Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Invesco Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Invesco Mortgage has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Invesco Mortgage Capital has accumulated 14.36 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 691.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Invesco Mortgage Capital has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Invesco Mortgage until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Invesco Mortgage's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Invesco Mortgage Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Invesco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Invesco Mortgage's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (90 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (62.53 M). |
Other Information on Investing in Invesco Preferred Stock
Invesco Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Mortgage security.