Invisio Communications (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 261.55
| IVSO Stock | SEK 271.50 4.50 1.63% |
Invisio |
Invisio Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 261.55
The tendency of Invisio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 261.55 or more in 90 days |
| 271.50 | 90 days | 261.55 | about 72.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invisio Communications to drop to kr 261.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 72.86 (This Invisio Communications AB probability density function shows the probability of Invisio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invisio Communications price to stay between kr 261.55 and its current price of kr271.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invisio Communications AB has a beta of -0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Invisio Communications are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Invisio Communications AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Invisio Communications AB has an alpha of 0.2381, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Invisio Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invisio Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invisio Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invisio Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invisio Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invisio Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invisio Communications AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invisio Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Invisio Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invisio Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invisio Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Invisio Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invisio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invisio Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invisio Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134.8 M |
Invisio Communications Technical Analysis
Invisio Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invisio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invisio Communications AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invisio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invisio Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Invisio Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Invisio Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invisio Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invisio Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invisio Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invisio Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Invisio Stock Analysis
When running Invisio Communications' price analysis, check to measure Invisio Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invisio Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Invisio Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invisio Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invisio Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invisio Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.