IZafe Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0

IZAFE-B Stock  SEK 0.20  0.01  5.26%   
IZafe Group's future price is the expected price of IZafe Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of iZafe Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IZafe Group Backtesting, IZafe Group Valuation, IZafe Group Correlation, IZafe Group Hype Analysis, IZafe Group Volatility, IZafe Group History as well as IZafe Group Performance.
  
Please specify IZafe Group's target price for which you would like IZafe Group odds to be computed.

IZafe Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of IZafe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IZafe Group to drop to kr 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This iZafe Group AB probability density function shows the probability of IZafe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iZafe Group AB price to stay between kr 0.00  and its current price of kr0.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon iZafe Group AB has a beta of -0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IZafe Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, iZafe Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IZafe Group AB has an alpha of 0.1444, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IZafe Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IZafe Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iZafe Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IZafe Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.205.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.175.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.195.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.190.210.24
Details

IZafe Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IZafe Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IZafe Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iZafe Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IZafe Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

IZafe Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IZafe Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iZafe Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
iZafe Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
iZafe Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
iZafe Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
iZafe Group AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
iZafe Group AB has accumulated 3.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 95.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. iZafe Group AB has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist IZafe Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IZafe Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like iZafe Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IZafe to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IZafe Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 442 K. Net Loss for the year was (36.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 246 K.
iZafe Group AB has accumulated about 18.73 M in cash with (33.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

IZafe Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IZafe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IZafe Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IZafe Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.7 M

IZafe Group Technical Analysis

IZafe Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IZafe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iZafe Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing IZafe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IZafe Group Predictive Forecast Models

IZafe Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many IZafe Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IZafe Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about iZafe Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about IZafe Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iZafe Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
iZafe Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
iZafe Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
iZafe Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
iZafe Group AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
iZafe Group AB has accumulated 3.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 95.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. iZafe Group AB has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist IZafe Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IZafe Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like iZafe Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IZafe to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IZafe Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 442 K. Net Loss for the year was (36.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 246 K.
iZafe Group AB has accumulated about 18.73 M in cash with (33.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Other Information on Investing in IZafe Stock

IZafe Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether IZafe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IZafe with respect to the benefits of owning IZafe Group security.