Iz Hayvancilik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.54
| IZINV Stock | 45.42 0.94 2.03% |
IZINV |
Iz Hayvancilik Target Price Odds to finish below 46.54
The tendency of IZINV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 46.54 after 90 days |
| 45.42 | 90 days | 46.54 | about 32.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iz Hayvancilik to stay under 46.54 after 90 days from now is about 32.21 (This Iz Hayvancilik Tarim probability density function shows the probability of IZINV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iz Hayvancilik Tarim price to stay between its current price of 45.42 and 46.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Iz Hayvancilik Tarim has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Iz Hayvancilik are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Iz Hayvancilik Tarim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Iz Hayvancilik Tarim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Iz Hayvancilik Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Iz Hayvancilik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iz Hayvancilik Tarim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Iz Hayvancilik's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Iz Hayvancilik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iz Hayvancilik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iz Hayvancilik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iz Hayvancilik Tarim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iz Hayvancilik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Iz Hayvancilik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iz Hayvancilik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iz Hayvancilik Tarim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Iz Hayvancilik Tarim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Iz Hayvancilik Technical Analysis
Iz Hayvancilik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IZINV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iz Hayvancilik Tarim. In general, you should focus on analyzing IZINV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Iz Hayvancilik Predictive Forecast Models
Iz Hayvancilik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iz Hayvancilik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iz Hayvancilik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Iz Hayvancilik Tarim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Iz Hayvancilik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iz Hayvancilik Tarim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Iz Hayvancilik Tarim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |