Izolacja Jarocin (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| IZO Stock | 3.33 0.15 4.72% |
Izolacja |
Izolacja Jarocin Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Izolacja Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 3.33 | 90 days | 0.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Izolacja Jarocin to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Izolacja Jarocin SA probability density function shows the probability of Izolacja Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Izolacja Jarocin price to stay between 0.04 and its current price of 3.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Izolacja Jarocin SA has a beta of -0.39. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Izolacja Jarocin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Izolacja Jarocin SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Izolacja Jarocin SA has an alpha of 0.1648, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Izolacja Jarocin Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Izolacja Jarocin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Izolacja Jarocin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Izolacja Jarocin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Izolacja Jarocin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Izolacja Jarocin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Izolacja Jarocin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Izolacja Jarocin SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Izolacja Jarocin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0009 |
Izolacja Jarocin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Izolacja Jarocin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Izolacja Jarocin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Izolacja Jarocin had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Izolacja Jarocin Technical Analysis
Izolacja Jarocin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Izolacja Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Izolacja Jarocin SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Izolacja Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Izolacja Jarocin Predictive Forecast Models
Izolacja Jarocin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Izolacja Jarocin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Izolacja Jarocin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Izolacja Jarocin
Checking the ongoing alerts about Izolacja Jarocin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Izolacja Jarocin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Izolacja Jarocin had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Izolacja Stock Analysis
When running Izolacja Jarocin's price analysis, check to measure Izolacja Jarocin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Izolacja Jarocin is operating at the current time. Most of Izolacja Jarocin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Izolacja Jarocin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Izolacja Jarocin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Izolacja Jarocin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.