Jacobs Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 116.98

J Stock  USD 138.36  0.36  0.26%   
Jacobs Solutions' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Jacobs Solutions. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Jacobs Solutions based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Jacobs Solutions over a specific time period. For example, J Option Call 20-12-2024 140 is a CALL option contract on Jacobs Solutions' common stock with a strick price of 140.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-03 at 15:36:11 for $1.85 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Jacobs options

Closest to current price Jacobs long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Jacobs Solutions' future price is the expected price of Jacobs Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jacobs Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jacobs Solutions Backtesting, Jacobs Solutions Valuation, Jacobs Solutions Correlation, Jacobs Solutions Hype Analysis, Jacobs Solutions Volatility, Jacobs Solutions History as well as Jacobs Solutions Performance.
For more information on how to buy Jacobs Stock please use our How to buy in Jacobs Stock guide.
  
At this time, Jacobs Solutions' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to hike to 24.55 this year, although Price Book Value Ratio will most likely fall to 1.92. Please specify Jacobs Solutions' target price for which you would like Jacobs Solutions odds to be computed.

Jacobs Solutions Target Price Odds to finish over 116.98

The tendency of Jacobs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 116.98  in 90 days
 138.36 90 days 116.98 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jacobs Solutions to stay above $ 116.98  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Jacobs Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Jacobs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jacobs Solutions price to stay between $ 116.98  and its current price of $138.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.16 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This indicates Jacobs Solutions market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Jacobs Solutions is expected to follow. Additionally Jacobs Solutions has an alpha of 0.0251, implying that it can generate a 0.0251 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jacobs Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jacobs Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jacobs Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
136.81138.36139.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.97137.52139.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
137.02138.56140.11
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
146.06160.50178.16
Details

Jacobs Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jacobs Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jacobs Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jacobs Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jacobs Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
8.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Jacobs Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jacobs Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jacobs Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Jacobs Solutions paid $ 0.29 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: Illinois quick hits Pritzker names early childhood director

Jacobs Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jacobs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jacobs Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jacobs Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Jacobs Solutions Technical Analysis

Jacobs Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jacobs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jacobs Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jacobs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jacobs Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

Jacobs Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jacobs Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jacobs Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jacobs Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jacobs Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jacobs Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Jacobs Solutions paid $ 0.29 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: Illinois quick hits Pritzker names early childhood director
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jacobs Solutions. If investors know Jacobs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jacobs Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Earnings Share
4.78
Revenue Per Share
134.766
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.011
Return On Assets
0.0498
The market value of Jacobs Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jacobs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jacobs Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jacobs Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jacobs Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jacobs Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jacobs Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jacobs Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jacobs Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.