John Hancock Mid Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.66

JACFX Fund  USD 19.46  0.20  1.04%   
John Hancock's future price is the expected price of John Hancock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of John Hancock Mid performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out John Hancock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, John Hancock Correlation, John Hancock Hype Analysis, John Hancock Volatility, John Hancock History as well as John Hancock Performance.
  
Please specify John Hancock's target price for which you would like John Hancock odds to be computed.

John Hancock Target Price Odds to finish below 20.66

The tendency of John Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 20.66  after 90 days
 19.46 90 days 20.66 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Hancock to stay under $ 20.66  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This John Hancock Mid probability density function shows the probability of John Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Hancock Mid price to stay between its current price of $ 19.46  and $ 20.66  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.7 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This indicates John Hancock Mid market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, John Hancock is expected to follow. Additionally John Hancock Mid has an alpha of 0.2055, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   John Hancock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for John Hancock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Hancock Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3919.4620.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5120.8021.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.9919.0620.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3818.4920.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as John Hancock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against John Hancock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, John Hancock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in John Hancock Mid.

John Hancock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Hancock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Hancock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Hancock Mid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Hancock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

John Hancock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Hancock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Hancock Mid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

John Hancock Technical Analysis

John Hancock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Hancock Mid. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

John Hancock Predictive Forecast Models

John Hancock's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Hancock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Hancock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about John Hancock Mid

Checking the ongoing alerts about John Hancock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Hancock Mid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in John Mutual Fund

John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
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