Jack In The Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 72.12
| JACK Stock | USD 46.87 0.28 0.60% |
Jack |
Jack In Target Price Odds to finish below 72.12
The tendency of Jack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 72.12 after 90 days |
| 46.87 | 90 days | 72.12 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jack In to stay under $ 72.12 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Jack In The probability density function shows the probability of Jack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jack In price to stay between its current price of $ 46.87 and $ 72.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jack In has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jack In average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jack In The will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jack In The has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jack In Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jack In
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack In. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jack In Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jack In is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jack In's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jack In The, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jack In within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Jack In Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jack In for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jack In can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jack In The currently holds 35.88 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Jack in the Box operations chief steps down |
Jack In Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jack In's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack In's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.8 M |
Jack In Technical Analysis
Jack In's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jack Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jack In The. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jack Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jack In Predictive Forecast Models
Jack In's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jack In's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jack In's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jack In
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jack In for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jack In help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jack In The currently holds 35.88 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Jack in the Box operations chief steps down |
Check out Jack In Backtesting, Jack In Valuation, Jack In Correlation, Jack In Hype Analysis, Jack In Volatility, Jack In History as well as Jack In Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. If investors know Jack will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jack In listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Earnings Share (1.87) | Revenue Per Share 80.463 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets 0.0546 |
The market value of Jack In is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jack that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jack In's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jack In's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jack In's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jack In's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jack In's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jack In is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jack In's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.