Innovator Equity Premium Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 24.87

JANQ Etf   24.89  0.01  0.04%   
Innovator Equity's future price is the expected price of Innovator Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Innovator Equity Premium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Innovator Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Innovator Equity Correlation, Innovator Equity Hype Analysis, Innovator Equity Volatility, Innovator Equity History as well as Innovator Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Innovator Equity's target price for which you would like Innovator Equity odds to be computed.

Innovator Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 24.87

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  24.87  or more in 90 days
 24.89 90 days 24.87 
about 92.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator Equity to drop to  24.87  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.63 (This Innovator Equity Premium probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Innovator Equity Premium price to stay between  24.87  and its current price of 24.89 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Equity has a beta of 0.0243. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Innovator Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator Equity Premium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator Equity Premium has an alpha of 0.0071, implying that it can generate a 0.007132 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innovator Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator Equity Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8524.8924.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8222.8627.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.8524.8924.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8424.8724.90
Details

Innovator Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator Equity Premium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -2.95

Innovator Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innovator Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innovator Equity Premium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innovator is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days

Innovator Equity Technical Analysis

Innovator Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Innovator Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Innovator Equity Premium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Innovator Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Innovator Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Innovator Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Innovator Equity's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Innovator Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Innovator Equity Premium

Checking the ongoing alerts about Innovator Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Innovator Equity Premium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innovator is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
When determining whether Innovator Equity Premium is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Innovator Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Innovator Equity Premium Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Innovator Equity Premium Etf:
The market value of Innovator Equity Premium is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Innovator that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Innovator Equity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Innovator Equity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Innovator Equity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Innovator Equity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innovator Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innovator Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Innovator Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.