PT Jhonlin (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 252.40
| JARR Stock | 288.00 2.00 0.69% |
JARR |
PT Jhonlin Target Price Odds to finish below 252.40
The tendency of JARR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 252.40 or more in 90 days |
| 288.00 | 90 days | 252.40 | about 16.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Jhonlin to drop to 252.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.43 (This PT Jhonlin Agro probability density function shows the probability of JARR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Jhonlin Agro price to stay between 252.40 and its current price of 288.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Jhonlin Agro has a beta of -0.42. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Jhonlin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Jhonlin Agro is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Jhonlin Agro has an alpha of 0.3844, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PT Jhonlin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Jhonlin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Jhonlin Agro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Jhonlin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Jhonlin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Jhonlin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Jhonlin Agro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Jhonlin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 35.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
PT Jhonlin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Jhonlin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Jhonlin Agro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Jhonlin Agro had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| PT Jhonlin generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
PT Jhonlin Technical Analysis
PT Jhonlin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JARR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Jhonlin Agro. In general, you should focus on analyzing JARR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Jhonlin Predictive Forecast Models
PT Jhonlin's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Jhonlin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Jhonlin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Jhonlin Agro
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Jhonlin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Jhonlin Agro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Jhonlin Agro had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| PT Jhonlin generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in JARR Stock
PT Jhonlin financial ratios help investors to determine whether JARR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JARR with respect to the benefits of owning PT Jhonlin security.