Jash Engineering (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 471.5
| JASH Stock | 597.95 5.75 0.95% |
Jash |
Jash Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 471.5
The tendency of Jash Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 471.50 in 90 days |
| 597.95 | 90 days | 471.50 | about 66.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jash Engineering to stay above 471.50 in 90 days from now is about 66.53 (This Jash Engineering Limited probability density function shows the probability of Jash Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jash Engineering price to stay between 471.50 and its current price of 597.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jash Engineering has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jash Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jash Engineering Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jash Engineering Limited has an alpha of 0.6481, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jash Engineering Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jash Engineering
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jash Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jash Engineering Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jash Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jash Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jash Engineering Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jash Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 71.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Jash Engineering Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jash Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jash Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jash Engineering appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jash Engineering is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Jash Engineerings Stock Reaches All-Time High, Outperforms Sector and Sensex - MarketsMojo |
Jash Engineering Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jash Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jash Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jash Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Jash Engineering Technical Analysis
Jash Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jash Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jash Engineering Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jash Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jash Engineering Predictive Forecast Models
Jash Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jash Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jash Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jash Engineering
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jash Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jash Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jash Engineering appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jash Engineering is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Jash Engineerings Stock Reaches All-Time High, Outperforms Sector and Sensex - MarketsMojo |
Additional Tools for Jash Stock Analysis
When running Jash Engineering's price analysis, check to measure Jash Engineering's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jash Engineering is operating at the current time. Most of Jash Engineering's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jash Engineering's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jash Engineering's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jash Engineering to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.