Jasnita Telekomindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50.63
| JAST Stock | 59.00 3.00 5.36% |
Jasnita |
Jasnita Telekomindo Target Price Odds to finish below 50.63
The tendency of Jasnita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 50.63 or more in 90 days |
| 59.00 | 90 days | 50.63 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jasnita Telekomindo to drop to 50.63 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Jasnita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk price to stay between 50.63 and its current price of 59.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has a beta of -0.23. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jasnita Telekomindo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has an alpha of 0.1438, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jasnita Telekomindo Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Jasnita Telekomindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jasnita Telekomindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jasnita Telekomindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jasnita Telekomindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jasnita Telekomindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0065 |
Jasnita Telekomindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jasnita Telekomindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 68.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.94 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.8 B. | |
| Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has accumulated about 5.97 B in cash with (2.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jasnita Telekomindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jasnita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jasnita Telekomindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jasnita Telekomindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 813.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 B |
Jasnita Telekomindo Technical Analysis
Jasnita Telekomindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jasnita Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jasnita Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jasnita Telekomindo Predictive Forecast Models
Jasnita Telekomindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jasnita Telekomindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jasnita Telekomindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jasnita Telekomindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 68.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.94 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.8 B. | |
| Jasnita Telekomindo Tbk has accumulated about 5.97 B in cash with (2.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jasnita Stock
Jasnita Telekomindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jasnita Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jasnita with respect to the benefits of owning Jasnita Telekomindo security.