Jpmorgan Active Value Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 56.11
| JAVA Etf | USD 66.65 0.39 0.58% |
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan Active Target Price Odds to finish below 56.11
The tendency of JPMorgan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 56.11 or more in 90 days |
| 66.65 | 90 days | 56.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan Active to drop to $ 56.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JPMorgan Active Value probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan Active Value price to stay between $ 56.11 and its current price of $66.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days JPMorgan Active has a beta of 0.86. This indicates JPMorgan Active Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, JPMorgan Active is expected to follow. Additionally JPMorgan Active Value has an alpha of 0.0107, implying that it can generate a 0.0107 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPMorgan Active Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Active
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Active Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMorgan Active's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JPMorgan Active Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan Active is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan Active's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan Active Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan Active within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0071 |
JPMorgan Active Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMorgan Active for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMorgan Active Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.23 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.73 B. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Azul Achieves Record Growth Across EMEA Fueled by Escalating Demand for Cost-Effective Alternatives to Oracle Java and Solutions that Address Rising Cloud Costs | |
| The fund retains 95.18% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
JPMorgan Active Technical Analysis
JPMorgan Active's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan Active Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMorgan Active Predictive Forecast Models
JPMorgan Active's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan Active's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan Active's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPMorgan Active Value
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMorgan Active for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMorgan Active Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.23 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.73 B. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Azul Achieves Record Growth Across EMEA Fueled by Escalating Demand for Cost-Effective Alternatives to Oracle Java and Solutions that Address Rising Cloud Costs | |
| The fund retains 95.18% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out JPMorgan Active Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMorgan Active Correlation, JPMorgan Active Hype Analysis, JPMorgan Active Volatility, JPMorgan Active History as well as JPMorgan Active Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
The market value of JPMorgan Active Value is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Active's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Active's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Active's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Active's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Active's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Active is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Active's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.