Jetblue Airways Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.79
| JBLU Stock | USD 5.96 0.05 0.85% |
Closest to current price JetBlue long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
JetBlue |
JetBlue Airways Target Price Odds to finish below 5.79
The tendency of JetBlue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.79 or more in 90 days |
| 5.96 | 90 days | 5.79 | about 27.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JetBlue Airways to drop to $ 5.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.32 (This JetBlue Airways Corp probability density function shows the probability of JetBlue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JetBlue Airways Corp price to stay between $ 5.79 and its current price of $5.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.84 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JetBlue Airways will likely underperform. Additionally JetBlue Airways Corp has an alpha of 0.1681, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JetBlue Airways Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JetBlue Airways
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JetBlue Airways Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JetBlue Airways Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JetBlue Airways is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JetBlue Airways' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JetBlue Airways Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JetBlue Airways within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
JetBlue Airways Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JetBlue Airways for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JetBlue Airways Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JetBlue Airways Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| JetBlue Airways Corp currently holds 5.38 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. JetBlue Airways Corp has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about JetBlue Airways' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 9.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (310 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.06 B. | |
| Over 84.0% of JetBlue Airways shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why Investors Should Retain JetBlue Airways Stock Now |
JetBlue Airways Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JetBlue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JetBlue Airways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JetBlue Airways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 332.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
JetBlue Airways Technical Analysis
JetBlue Airways' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JetBlue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JetBlue Airways Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing JetBlue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JetBlue Airways Predictive Forecast Models
JetBlue Airways' time-series forecasting models is one of many JetBlue Airways' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JetBlue Airways' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JetBlue Airways Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about JetBlue Airways for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JetBlue Airways Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JetBlue Airways Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| JetBlue Airways Corp currently holds 5.38 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. JetBlue Airways Corp has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about JetBlue Airways' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 9.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (310 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.06 B. | |
| Over 84.0% of JetBlue Airways shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why Investors Should Retain JetBlue Airways Stock Now |
Additional Tools for JetBlue Stock Analysis
When running JetBlue Airways' price analysis, check to measure JetBlue Airways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JetBlue Airways is operating at the current time. Most of JetBlue Airways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JetBlue Airways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JetBlue Airways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JetBlue Airways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.