Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 6.6
| JCRCX Fund | USD 6.67 0.02 0.30% |
Alps/corecommodity |
Alps/corecommodity Target Price Odds to finish over 6.6
The tendency of Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 6.60 in 90 days |
| 6.67 | 90 days | 6.60 | about 47.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alps/corecommodity to stay above $ 6.60 in 90 days from now is about 47.15 (This Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm probability density function shows the probability of Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alps/corecommodity price to stay between $ 6.60 and its current price of $6.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alps/corecommodity has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Alps/corecommodity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm has an alpha of 0.0171, implying that it can generate a 0.0171 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alps/corecommodity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alps/corecommodity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alps/corecommodity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alps/corecommodity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alps/corecommodity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alps/corecommodity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alps/corecommodity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alps/corecommodity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Alps/corecommodity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alps/corecommodity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alps/corecommodity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Alps/corecommodity retains about 40.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Alps/corecommodity Technical Analysis
Alps/corecommodity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alps/corecommodity Predictive Forecast Models
Alps/corecommodity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alps/corecommodity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alps/corecommodity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alps/corecommodity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alps/corecommodity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alps/corecommodity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Alps/corecommodity retains about 40.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund
Alps/corecommodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alps/corecommodity with respect to the benefits of owning Alps/corecommodity security.
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