Jardine Cycle Carriage Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 14.78
| JCYCF Stock | USD 19.50 0.00 0.00% |
Jardine |
Jardine Cycle Target Price Odds to finish below 14.78
The tendency of Jardine Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.78 or more in 90 days |
| 19.50 | 90 days | 14.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jardine Cycle to drop to $ 14.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jardine Cycle Carriage probability density function shows the probability of Jardine Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jardine Cycle Carriage price to stay between $ 14.78 and its current price of $19.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jardine Cycle has a beta of 0.17. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jardine Cycle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jardine Cycle Carriage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jardine Cycle Carriage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jardine Cycle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jardine Cycle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jardine Cycle Carriage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jardine Cycle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jardine Cycle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jardine Cycle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jardine Cycle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jardine Cycle Carriage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jardine Cycle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Jardine Cycle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jardine Cycle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jardine Cycle Carriage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jardine Cycle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jardine Cycle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jardine Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jardine Cycle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jardine Cycle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 395.2 M |
Jardine Cycle Technical Analysis
Jardine Cycle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jardine Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jardine Cycle Carriage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jardine Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jardine Cycle Predictive Forecast Models
Jardine Cycle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jardine Cycle's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jardine Cycle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jardine Cycle Carriage
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jardine Cycle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jardine Cycle Carriage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jardine Cycle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jardine Pink Sheet
Jardine Cycle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jardine Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jardine with respect to the benefits of owning Jardine Cycle security.