JD Food (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.78
| JDF Stock | 2.10 0.02 0.96% |
JDF |
JD Food Target Price Odds to finish below 1.78
The tendency of JDF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.78 or more in 90 days |
| 2.10 | 90 days | 1.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JD Food to drop to 1.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JD Food PCL probability density function shows the probability of JDF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JD Food PCL price to stay between 1.78 and its current price of 2.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JD Food has a beta of 0.0393. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JD Food average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JD Food PCL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JD Food PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JD Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JD Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JD Food PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JD Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JD Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JD Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JD Food PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JD Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
JD Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JD Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JD Food PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JD Food PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
JD Food Technical Analysis
JD Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JDF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JD Food PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing JDF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JD Food Predictive Forecast Models
JD Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many JD Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JD Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JD Food PCL
Checking the ongoing alerts about JD Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JD Food PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JD Food PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in JDF Stock
JD Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether JDF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JDF with respect to the benefits of owning JD Food security.