Judges Scientific (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10000.0
| JDG Stock | 8,400 20.00 0.24% |
Judges |
Judges Scientific Target Price Odds to finish below 10000.0
The tendency of Judges Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 10,000 after 90 days |
| 8,400 | 90 days | 10,000 | about 71.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Judges Scientific to stay under 10,000 after 90 days from now is about 71.07 (This Judges Scientific Plc probability density function shows the probability of Judges Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Judges Scientific Plc price to stay between its current price of 8,400 and 10,000 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Judges Scientific has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Judges Scientific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Judges Scientific Plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Judges Scientific Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Judges Scientific Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Judges Scientific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Judges Scientific Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Judges Scientific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Judges Scientific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Judges Scientific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Judges Scientific Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Judges Scientific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 724.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Judges Scientific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Judges Scientific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Judges Scientific Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Judges Scientific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Judges Scientific is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Judges Scientific paid 0.297 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Judges Scientific Given New 113.10 Price Target at Berenberg Bank - MarketBeat |
Judges Scientific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Judges Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Judges Scientific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Judges Scientific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.7 M |
Judges Scientific Technical Analysis
Judges Scientific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Judges Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Judges Scientific Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Judges Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Judges Scientific Predictive Forecast Models
Judges Scientific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Judges Scientific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Judges Scientific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Judges Scientific Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Judges Scientific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Judges Scientific Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Judges Scientific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Judges Scientific is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Judges Scientific paid 0.297 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Judges Scientific Given New 113.10 Price Target at Berenberg Bank - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Judges Stock
Judges Scientific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Judges Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Judges with respect to the benefits of owning Judges Scientific security.