Jersey Electricity (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 443.07
| JEL Stock | 445.00 5.00 1.14% |
Jersey |
Jersey Electricity Target Price Odds to finish below 443.07
The tendency of Jersey Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 443.07 or more in 90 days |
| 445.00 | 90 days | 443.07 | about 81.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jersey Electricity to drop to 443.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.4 (This Jersey Electricity plc probability density function shows the probability of Jersey Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jersey Electricity plc price to stay between 443.07 and its current price of 445.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jersey Electricity plc has a beta of -0.0656. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jersey Electricity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jersey Electricity plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jersey Electricity plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jersey Electricity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jersey Electricity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jersey Electricity plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jersey Electricity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jersey Electricity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jersey Electricity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jersey Electricity plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jersey Electricity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0059 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Jersey Electricity Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jersey Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jersey Electricity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jersey Electricity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.4 M |
Jersey Electricity Technical Analysis
Jersey Electricity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jersey Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jersey Electricity plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jersey Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jersey Electricity Predictive Forecast Models
Jersey Electricity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jersey Electricity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jersey Electricity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Jersey Electricity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Jersey Electricity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Jersey Electricity options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Jersey Stock
Jersey Electricity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jersey Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jersey with respect to the benefits of owning Jersey Electricity security.