JPMorgan Global (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 135.0

JEMI Stock   130.00  0.50  0.39%   
JPMorgan Global's future price is the expected price of JPMorgan Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPMorgan Global Emerging performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JPMorgan Global Backtesting, JPMorgan Global Valuation, JPMorgan Global Correlation, JPMorgan Global Hype Analysis, JPMorgan Global Volatility, JPMorgan Global History as well as JPMorgan Global Performance.
  
Please specify JPMorgan Global's target price for which you would like JPMorgan Global odds to be computed.

JPMorgan Global Target Price Odds to finish below 135.0

The tendency of JPMorgan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  135.00  after 90 days
 130.00 90 days 135.00 
about 72.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan Global to stay under  135.00  after 90 days from now is about 72.35 (This JPMorgan Global Emerging probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan Global Emerging price to stay between its current price of  130.00  and  135.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPMorgan Global has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JPMorgan Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPMorgan Global Emerging will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPMorgan Global Emerging has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   JPMorgan Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Global Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.92130.00131.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
117.00131.65132.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
126.14127.22128.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
128.93132.00135.07
Details

JPMorgan Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan Global Emerging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
3.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

JPMorgan Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMorgan Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMorgan Global Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPMorgan Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of October 2024 JPMorgan Global paid 0.024 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: IHG Acquires 20,000 Shares in Latest Buyback Program at 95.93 Average Price IHG Stock News - StockTitan

JPMorgan Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JPMorgan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JPMorgan Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPMorgan Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding294.2 M
Dividends Paid15.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 M

JPMorgan Global Technical Analysis

JPMorgan Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan Global Emerging. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPMorgan Global Predictive Forecast Models

JPMorgan Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JPMorgan Global Emerging

Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMorgan Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMorgan Global Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPMorgan Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of October 2024 JPMorgan Global paid 0.024 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: IHG Acquires 20,000 Shares in Latest Buyback Program at 95.93 Average Price IHG Stock News - StockTitan

Additional Tools for JPMorgan Stock Analysis

When running JPMorgan Global's price analysis, check to measure JPMorgan Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPMorgan Global is operating at the current time. Most of JPMorgan Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPMorgan Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPMorgan Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPMorgan Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.