The Jensen Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 63.03

JENSX Fund  USD 59.65  0.15  0.25%   
The Jensen's future price is the expected price of The Jensen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Jensen Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out The Jensen Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, The Jensen Correlation, The Jensen Hype Analysis, The Jensen Volatility, The Jensen History as well as The Jensen Performance.
  
Please specify The Jensen's target price for which you would like The Jensen odds to be computed.

The Jensen Target Price Odds to finish over 63.03

The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 63.03  or more in 90 days
 59.65 90 days 63.03 
about 82.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Jensen to move over $ 63.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.03 (This The Jensen Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jensen Portfolio price to stay between its current price of $ 59.65  and $ 63.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Jensen has a beta of 0.64. This indicates as returns on the market go up, The Jensen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Jensen Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Jensen Portfolio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   The Jensen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for The Jensen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jensen Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Jensen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.2359.6561.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.0960.5161.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.5957.0158.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.4659.6059.74
Details

The Jensen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Jensen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Jensen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Jensen Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Jensen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
2.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

The Jensen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Jensen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jensen Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jensen Portfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 98.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

The Jensen Technical Analysis

The Jensen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. The Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Jensen Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing The Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

The Jensen Predictive Forecast Models

The Jensen's time-series forecasting models is one of many The Jensen's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary The Jensen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jensen Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about The Jensen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jensen Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jensen Portfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 98.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Jensen financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Jensen security.
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