Jpmorgan Equity Premium Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 26.25
| JEPI Etf | 26.98 0.01 0.04% |
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 26.25
The tendency of JPMorgan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 26.25 or more in 90 days |
| 26.98 | 90 days | 26.25 | about 71.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan Equity to drop to 26.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.89 (This JPMorgan Equity Premium probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan Equity Premium price to stay between 26.25 and its current price of 26.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPMorgan Equity has a beta of 0.0929. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JPMorgan Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPMorgan Equity Premium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPMorgan Equity Premium has an alpha of 0.1624, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPMorgan Equity Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Equity Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPMorgan Equity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan Equity Premium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
JPMorgan Equity Technical Analysis
JPMorgan Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan Equity Premium. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMorgan Equity Predictive Forecast Models
JPMorgan Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan Equity's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JPMorgan Equity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JPMorgan Equity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JPMorgan Equity options trading.
Check out JPMorgan Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMorgan Equity Correlation, JPMorgan Equity Hype Analysis, JPMorgan Equity Volatility, JPMorgan Equity History as well as JPMorgan Equity Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.