Graha Andrasentra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.72
| JGLE Stock | IDR 8.00 1.00 14.29% |
Graha |
Graha Andrasentra Target Price Odds to finish over 6.72
The tendency of Graha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 6.72 in 90 days |
| 8.00 | 90 days | 6.72 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Graha Andrasentra to stay above 6.72 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Graha Andrasentra Propertindo probability density function shows the probability of Graha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Graha Andrasentra price to stay between 6.72 and its current price of 8.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Graha Andrasentra Propertindo has a beta of -0.74. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Graha Andrasentra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Graha Andrasentra Propertindo is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Graha Andrasentra Propertindo has an alpha of 0.3665, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Graha Andrasentra Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Graha Andrasentra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Graha Andrasentra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Graha Andrasentra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Graha Andrasentra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Graha Andrasentra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Graha Andrasentra Propertindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Graha Andrasentra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Graha Andrasentra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Graha Andrasentra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Graha Andrasentra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Graha Andrasentra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Graha Andrasentra has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 86.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (101.49 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.54 B. | |
| Graha Andrasentra Propertindo has accumulated about 6.27 B in cash with (6.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Graha Andrasentra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Graha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Graha Andrasentra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Graha Andrasentra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64 B |
Graha Andrasentra Technical Analysis
Graha Andrasentra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Graha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Graha Andrasentra Propertindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Graha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Graha Andrasentra Predictive Forecast Models
Graha Andrasentra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Graha Andrasentra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Graha Andrasentra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Graha Andrasentra
Checking the ongoing alerts about Graha Andrasentra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Graha Andrasentra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Graha Andrasentra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Graha Andrasentra has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 86.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (101.49 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.54 B. | |
| Graha Andrasentra Propertindo has accumulated about 6.27 B in cash with (6.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Graha Stock
Graha Andrasentra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Graha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Graha with respect to the benefits of owning Graha Andrasentra security.