John Hancock Global Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.23

JGYAX Fund  USD 12.49  0.01  0.08%   
John Hancock's future price is the expected price of John Hancock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of John Hancock Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out John Hancock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, John Hancock Correlation, John Hancock Hype Analysis, John Hancock Volatility, John Hancock History as well as John Hancock Performance.
  
Please specify John Hancock's target price for which you would like John Hancock odds to be computed.

John Hancock Target Price Odds to finish below 8.23

The tendency of John Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.23  or more in 90 days
 12.49 90 days 8.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Hancock to drop to $ 8.23  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This John Hancock Global probability density function shows the probability of John Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Hancock Global price to stay between $ 8.23  and its current price of $12.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon John Hancock Global has a beta of -0.0112. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding John Hancock are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, John Hancock Global is likely to outperform the market. Additionally John Hancock Global has an alpha of 0.0148, implying that it can generate a 0.0148 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   John Hancock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for John Hancock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Hancock Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9512.4913.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8712.4112.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.0812.6313.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1112.3412.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as John Hancock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against John Hancock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, John Hancock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in John Hancock Global.

John Hancock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Hancock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Hancock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Hancock Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Hancock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

John Hancock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Hancock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Hancock Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

John Hancock Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John Hancock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Hancock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

John Hancock Technical Analysis

John Hancock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Hancock Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

John Hancock Predictive Forecast Models

John Hancock's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Hancock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Hancock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about John Hancock Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about John Hancock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Hancock Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in John Mutual Fund

John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
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