Capital Appreciation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.79
| JHCPX Fund | USD 18.06 0.16 0.89% |
Capital |
Capital Appreciation Target Price Odds to finish below 16.79
The tendency of Capital Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.79 or more in 90 days |
| 18.06 | 90 days | 16.79 | about 27.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Appreciation to drop to $ 16.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.74 (This Capital Appreciation Fund probability density function shows the probability of Capital Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Appreciation price to stay between $ 16.79 and its current price of $18.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital Appreciation has a beta of 0.94. This indicates Capital Appreciation Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Capital Appreciation is expected to follow. Additionally Capital Appreciation Fund has an alpha of 0.0091, implying that it can generate a 0.009109 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capital Appreciation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital Appreciation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Appreciation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital Appreciation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Appreciation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Appreciation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Appreciation Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Appreciation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Capital Appreciation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Appreciation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Appreciation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 98.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Capital Appreciation Technical Analysis
Capital Appreciation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Appreciation Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital Appreciation Predictive Forecast Models
Capital Appreciation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Appreciation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Appreciation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capital Appreciation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Appreciation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Appreciation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 98.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund
Capital Appreciation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Appreciation security.
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