Retirement Living Through Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.9

JHREX Fund  USD 7.93  0.04  0.51%   
Retirement Living's future price is the expected price of Retirement Living instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Retirement Living Through performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Retirement Living Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Retirement Living Correlation, Retirement Living Hype Analysis, Retirement Living Volatility, Retirement Living History as well as Retirement Living Performance.
  
Please specify Retirement Living's target price for which you would like Retirement Living odds to be computed.

Retirement Living Target Price Odds to finish below 7.9

The tendency of Retirement Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.90  or more in 90 days
 7.93 90 days 7.90 
about 64.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Retirement Living to drop to $ 7.90  or more in 90 days from now is about 64.29 (This Retirement Living Through probability density function shows the probability of Retirement Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Retirement Living Through price to stay between $ 7.90  and its current price of $7.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Retirement Living has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Retirement Living average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Retirement Living Through will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Retirement Living Through has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Retirement Living Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Retirement Living

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retirement Living Through. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Retirement Living's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.637.938.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.617.918.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.587.888.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.817.877.94
Details

Retirement Living Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Retirement Living is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Retirement Living's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Retirement Living Through, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Retirement Living within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.37

Retirement Living Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Retirement Living for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Retirement Living Through can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Retirement Living Technical Analysis

Retirement Living's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Retirement Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Retirement Living Through. In general, you should focus on analyzing Retirement Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Retirement Living Predictive Forecast Models

Retirement Living's time-series forecasting models is one of many Retirement Living's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Retirement Living's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Retirement Living Through

Checking the ongoing alerts about Retirement Living for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Retirement Living Through help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Retirement Mutual Fund

Retirement Living financial ratios help investors to determine whether Retirement Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Retirement with respect to the benefits of owning Retirement Living security.
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