Jakarta Int (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 423.57
| JIHD Stock | IDR 1,955 110.00 5.96% |
Jakarta |
Jakarta Int Target Price Odds to finish over 423.57
The tendency of Jakarta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 423.57 in 90 days |
| 1,955 | 90 days | 423.57 | about 74.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jakarta Int to stay above 423.57 in 90 days from now is about 74.61 (This Jakarta Int Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Jakarta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jakarta Int Hotels price to stay between 423.57 and its current price of 1955.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jakarta Int has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jakarta Int average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jakarta Int Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Jakarta Int Hotels has an alpha of 3.0209, implying that it can generate a 3.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jakarta Int Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jakarta Int
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jakarta Int Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jakarta Int Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jakarta Int is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jakarta Int's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jakarta Int Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jakarta Int within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 653.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.30 |
Jakarta Int Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jakarta Int for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jakarta Int Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jakarta Int Hotels is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jakarta Int Hotels appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jakarta Int Hotels has accumulated 265.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.7, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Jakarta Int Hotels has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jakarta Int until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jakarta Int's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jakarta Int Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jakarta to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jakarta Int's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 902.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (104.24 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 646.56 B. | |
| About 87.0% of Jakarta Int shares are held by company insiders |
Jakarta Int Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jakarta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jakarta Int's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jakarta Int's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 299.6 B |
Jakarta Int Technical Analysis
Jakarta Int's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jakarta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jakarta Int Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jakarta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jakarta Int Predictive Forecast Models
Jakarta Int's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jakarta Int's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jakarta Int's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jakarta Int Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jakarta Int for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jakarta Int Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jakarta Int Hotels is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jakarta Int Hotels appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jakarta Int Hotels has accumulated 265.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.7, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Jakarta Int Hotels has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jakarta Int until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jakarta Int's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jakarta Int Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jakarta to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jakarta Int's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 902.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (104.24 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 646.56 B. | |
| About 87.0% of Jakarta Int shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jakarta Stock
Jakarta Int financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jakarta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jakarta with respect to the benefits of owning Jakarta Int security.