JLEN Environmental (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 85.92
| JLEN Stock | 76.50 0.50 0.65% |
JLEN |
JLEN Environmental Target Price Odds to finish below 85.92
The tendency of JLEN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 85.92 after 90 days |
| 76.50 | 90 days | 85.92 | about 48.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JLEN Environmental to stay under 85.92 after 90 days from now is about 48.58 (This JLEN Environmental Assets probability density function shows the probability of JLEN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JLEN Environmental Assets price to stay between its current price of 76.50 and 85.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JLEN Environmental has a beta of 0.0752. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JLEN Environmental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JLEN Environmental Assets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JLEN Environmental Assets has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JLEN Environmental Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JLEN Environmental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JLEN Environmental Assets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JLEN Environmental Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JLEN Environmental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JLEN Environmental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JLEN Environmental Assets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JLEN Environmental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
JLEN Environmental Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JLEN Environmental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JLEN Environmental Assets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JLEN Environmental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (13.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.44 M. | |
| JLEN Environmental generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foresight Environmental Infrastructure Limited Reports Earnings Results for the Full Year Ended March 31, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
JLEN Environmental Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JLEN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JLEN Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JLEN Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 661.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 49.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 271 K |
JLEN Environmental Technical Analysis
JLEN Environmental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JLEN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JLEN Environmental Assets. In general, you should focus on analyzing JLEN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JLEN Environmental Predictive Forecast Models
JLEN Environmental's time-series forecasting models is one of many JLEN Environmental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JLEN Environmental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JLEN Environmental Assets
Checking the ongoing alerts about JLEN Environmental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JLEN Environmental Assets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JLEN Environmental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (13.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 108.44 M. | |
| JLEN Environmental generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foresight Environmental Infrastructure Limited Reports Earnings Results for the Full Year Ended March 31, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for JLEN Stock Analysis
When running JLEN Environmental's price analysis, check to measure JLEN Environmental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JLEN Environmental is operating at the current time. Most of JLEN Environmental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JLEN Environmental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JLEN Environmental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JLEN Environmental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.