JLT Mobile (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.94

JLT Stock  SEK 2.86  0.08  2.72%   
JLT Mobile's future price is the expected price of JLT Mobile instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JLT Mobile Computers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JLT Mobile Backtesting, JLT Mobile Valuation, JLT Mobile Correlation, JLT Mobile Hype Analysis, JLT Mobile Volatility, JLT Mobile History as well as JLT Mobile Performance.
  
Please specify JLT Mobile's target price for which you would like JLT Mobile odds to be computed.

JLT Mobile Target Price Odds to finish over 2.94

The tendency of JLT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 2.94  or more in 90 days
 2.86 90 days 2.94 
over 95.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JLT Mobile to move over kr 2.94  or more in 90 days from now is over 95.47 (This JLT Mobile Computers probability density function shows the probability of JLT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JLT Mobile Computers price to stay between its current price of kr 2.86  and kr 2.94  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JLT Mobile has a beta of 0.0232. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JLT Mobile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JLT Mobile Computers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JLT Mobile Computers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   JLT Mobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JLT Mobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JLT Mobile Computers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.882.864.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.682.664.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.962.944.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.812.892.96
Details

JLT Mobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JLT Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JLT Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JLT Mobile Computers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JLT Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

JLT Mobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JLT Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JLT Mobile Computers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JLT Mobile Computers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

JLT Mobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JLT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JLT Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JLT Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40.1 M

JLT Mobile Technical Analysis

JLT Mobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JLT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JLT Mobile Computers. In general, you should focus on analyzing JLT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JLT Mobile Predictive Forecast Models

JLT Mobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many JLT Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JLT Mobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JLT Mobile Computers

Checking the ongoing alerts about JLT Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JLT Mobile Computers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JLT Mobile Computers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for JLT Stock Analysis

When running JLT Mobile's price analysis, check to measure JLT Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JLT Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of JLT Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JLT Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JLT Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JLT Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.