Jay Mart (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.65
| JMART-R Stock | THB 13.80 0.70 4.83% |
Jay |
Jay Mart Target Price Odds to finish below 13.65
The tendency of Jay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.65 or more in 90 days |
| 13.80 | 90 days | 13.65 | about 18.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jay Mart to drop to 13.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.67 (This Jay Mart Public probability density function shows the probability of Jay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jay Mart Public price to stay between 13.65 and its current price of 13.8 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jay Mart has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jay Mart average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jay Mart Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jay Mart Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jay Mart Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Jay Mart
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jay Mart Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jay Mart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jay Mart Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jay Mart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jay Mart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jay Mart Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jay Mart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Jay Mart Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jay Mart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jay Mart Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jay Mart Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jay Mart Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jay Mart Public has accumulated 5.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jay Mart Public has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jay Mart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jay Mart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jay Mart Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jay Mart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Jay Mart Public has accumulated about 241.55 M in cash with (1.14 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. |
Jay Mart Technical Analysis
Jay Mart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jay Mart Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jay Mart Predictive Forecast Models
Jay Mart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jay Mart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jay Mart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jay Mart Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jay Mart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jay Mart Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jay Mart Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jay Mart Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jay Mart Public has accumulated 5.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jay Mart Public has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jay Mart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jay Mart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jay Mart Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jay Mart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Jay Mart Public has accumulated about 241.55 M in cash with (1.14 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38. |
Additional Tools for Jay Stock Analysis
When running Jay Mart's price analysis, check to measure Jay Mart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jay Mart is operating at the current time. Most of Jay Mart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jay Mart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jay Mart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jay Mart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.