Jay Mart (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.55
| JMART Stock | THB 13.60 0.20 1.49% |
Jay |
Jay Mart Target Price Odds to finish over 13.55
The tendency of Jay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 13.55 in 90 days |
| 13.60 | 90 days | 13.55 | over 95.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jay Mart to stay above 13.55 in 90 days from now is over 95.08 (This Jay Mart Public probability density function shows the probability of Jay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jay Mart Public price to stay between 13.55 and its current price of 13.6 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jay Mart Public has a beta of -0.058. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jay Mart are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jay Mart Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jay Mart Public has an alpha of 0.0914, implying that it can generate a 0.0914 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jay Mart Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jay Mart
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jay Mart Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jay Mart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jay Mart Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jay Mart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jay Mart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jay Mart Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jay Mart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0043 |
Jay Mart Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jay Mart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jay Mart Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jay Mart Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jay Mart Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jay Mart Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Jay Mart Public has accumulated about 2.12 B in cash with (4.92 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.88. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jay Mart Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jay Mart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jay Mart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Jay Mart Technical Analysis
Jay Mart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jay Mart Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jay Mart Predictive Forecast Models
Jay Mart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jay Mart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jay Mart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jay Mart Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jay Mart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jay Mart Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jay Mart Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jay Mart Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jay Mart Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Jay Mart Public has accumulated about 2.12 B in cash with (4.92 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.88. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jay Stock
Jay Mart financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jay Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jay with respect to the benefits of owning Jay Mart security.