Johnson Matthey (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1601.07
| JMAT Stock | 1,359 29.00 2.18% |
Johnson |
Johnson Matthey Target Price Odds to finish below 1601.07
The tendency of Johnson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,601 after 90 days |
| 1,359 | 90 days | 1,601 | about 91.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Matthey to stay under 1,601 after 90 days from now is about 91.79 (This Johnson Matthey PLC probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Johnson Matthey PLC price to stay between its current price of 1,359 and 1,601 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Johnson Matthey PLC has a beta of -0.37. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Johnson Matthey are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Johnson Matthey PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Johnson Matthey PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Johnson Matthey Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Johnson Matthey
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Matthey PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Johnson Matthey Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Matthey is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Matthey's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Matthey PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Matthey within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 56.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Johnson Matthey Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Matthey for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Matthey PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Johnson Matthey PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Johnson Matthey PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Johnson Matthey Executives Acquire Shares, Reflecting Confidence - TipRanks |
Johnson Matthey Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Johnson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Johnson Matthey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Matthey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 542 M |
Johnson Matthey Technical Analysis
Johnson Matthey's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Johnson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Johnson Matthey PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Johnson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Johnson Matthey Predictive Forecast Models
Johnson Matthey's time-series forecasting models is one of many Johnson Matthey's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Johnson Matthey's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Johnson Matthey PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Matthey for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Matthey PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Johnson Matthey PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Johnson Matthey PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Johnson Matthey Executives Acquire Shares, Reflecting Confidence - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Johnson Stock Analysis
When running Johnson Matthey's price analysis, check to measure Johnson Matthey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Matthey is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Matthey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Matthey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Matthey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Matthey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.