Jpmorgan Municipal Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 49.35
| JMUB Etf | USD 50.78 0.13 0.26% |
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan Municipal Target Price Odds to finish below 49.35
The tendency of JPMorgan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 49.35 or more in 90 days |
| 50.78 | 90 days | 49.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan Municipal to drop to $ 49.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JPMorgan Municipal probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan Municipal price to stay between $ 49.35 and its current price of $50.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days JPMorgan Municipal has a beta of -0.0875. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JPMorgan Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JPMorgan Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JPMorgan Municipal has an alpha of 0.008, implying that it can generate a 0.007996 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPMorgan Municipal Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMorgan Municipal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JPMorgan Municipal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.55 |
JPMorgan Municipal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMorgan Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMorgan Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: D Orazio Associates Inc. Has 255,000 Position in JPMorgan Municipal ETF | |
| The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
JPMorgan Municipal Technical Analysis
JPMorgan Municipal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMorgan Municipal Predictive Forecast Models
JPMorgan Municipal's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan Municipal's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan Municipal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPMorgan Municipal
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMorgan Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMorgan Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: D Orazio Associates Inc. Has 255,000 Position in JPMorgan Municipal ETF | |
| The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Check out JPMorgan Municipal Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMorgan Municipal Correlation, JPMorgan Municipal Hype Analysis, JPMorgan Municipal Volatility, JPMorgan Municipal History as well as JPMorgan Municipal Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of JPMorgan Municipal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Municipal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Municipal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Municipal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Municipal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.