Johcm Global Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.17
| JOGIX Fund | USD 15.33 0.09 0.58% |
Johcm |
Johcm Global Target Price Odds to finish below 15.17
The tendency of Johcm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.17 or more in 90 days |
| 15.33 | 90 days | 15.17 | about 81.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johcm Global to drop to $ 15.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.92 (This Johcm Global Equity probability density function shows the probability of Johcm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Johcm Global Equity price to stay between $ 15.17 and its current price of $15.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Johcm Global has a beta of 0.63. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Johcm Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Johcm Global Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Johcm Global Equity has an alpha of 0.0946, implying that it can generate a 0.0946 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Johcm Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Johcm Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johcm Global Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Johcm Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johcm Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johcm Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johcm Global Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johcm Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Johcm Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johcm Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johcm Global Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Johcm Global Equity retains 99.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Johcm Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Johcm Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Johcm Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johcm Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Johcm Global Technical Analysis
Johcm Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Johcm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Johcm Global Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Johcm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Johcm Global Predictive Forecast Models
Johcm Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Johcm Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Johcm Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Johcm Global Equity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Johcm Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Johcm Global Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Johcm Global Equity retains 99.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Johcm Mutual Fund
Johcm Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Johcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Johcm with respect to the benefits of owning Johcm Global security.
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