Johnson Electric (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.46

JOHB Stock  EUR 1.32  0.01  0.76%   
Johnson Electric's future price is the expected price of Johnson Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Johnson Electric Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Johnson Electric Backtesting, Johnson Electric Valuation, Johnson Electric Correlation, Johnson Electric Hype Analysis, Johnson Electric Volatility, Johnson Electric History as well as Johnson Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Johnson Electric's target price for which you would like Johnson Electric odds to be computed.

Johnson Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 3.46

The tendency of Johnson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.46  or more in 90 days
 1.32 90 days 3.46 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Electric to move over € 3.46  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Johnson Electric Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Johnson Electric Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 1.32  and € 3.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Johnson Electric has a beta of 0.31. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Johnson Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Johnson Electric Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Johnson Electric Holdings has an alpha of 0.1243, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Johnson Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Johnson Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Electric Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.323.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.293.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.283.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.301.321.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Johnson Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Johnson Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Johnson Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Johnson Electric Holdings.

Johnson Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Electric Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Johnson Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Electric Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Johnson Electric may become a speculative penny stock

Johnson Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Johnson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Johnson Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding906 M
Dividend Yield0.1056
Short Term Investments14.1 M
Short Long Term Debt21.6 M

Johnson Electric Technical Analysis

Johnson Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Johnson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Johnson Electric Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Johnson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Johnson Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Johnson Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Johnson Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Johnson Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Johnson Electric Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Electric Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Johnson Electric may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Johnson Stock

Johnson Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Johnson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Johnson with respect to the benefits of owning Johnson Electric security.