Johnson Opportunity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 60.29

JOPPX Fund  USD 59.36  0.10  0.17%   
Johnson Opportunity's future price is the expected price of Johnson Opportunity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Johnson Opportunity Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Johnson Opportunity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Johnson Opportunity Correlation, Johnson Opportunity Hype Analysis, Johnson Opportunity Volatility, Johnson Opportunity History as well as Johnson Opportunity Performance.
  
Please specify Johnson Opportunity's target price for which you would like Johnson Opportunity odds to be computed.

Johnson Opportunity Target Price Odds to finish over 60.29

The tendency of Johnson Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 60.29  or more in 90 days
 59.36 90 days 60.29 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Opportunity to move over $ 60.29  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Johnson Opportunity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Johnson Opportunity price to stay between its current price of $ 59.36  and $ 60.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This indicates Johnson Opportunity Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Johnson Opportunity is expected to follow. Additionally Johnson Opportunity Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Johnson Opportunity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Johnson Opportunity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.4359.3660.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.7358.6659.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.9359.8660.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.0858.4060.72
Details

Johnson Opportunity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Opportunity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Opportunity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Opportunity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Opportunity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Johnson Opportunity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Opportunity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Opportunity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.87% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Johnson Opportunity Technical Analysis

Johnson Opportunity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Johnson Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Johnson Opportunity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Johnson Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Johnson Opportunity Predictive Forecast Models

Johnson Opportunity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Johnson Opportunity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Johnson Opportunity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Johnson Opportunity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Opportunity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Opportunity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.87% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Johnson Mutual Fund

Johnson Opportunity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Johnson Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Johnson with respect to the benefits of owning Johnson Opportunity security.
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