Jpmorgan Chase Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 189.92
| JPM Stock | USD 248.55 3.79 1.55% |
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan Chase Target Price Odds to finish below 189.92
The tendency of JPMorgan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 189.92 or more in 90 days |
| 248.55 | 90 days | 189.92 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan Chase to drop to $ 189.92 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JPMorgan Chase Co probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan Chase price to stay between $ 189.92 and its current price of $248.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.87 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JPMorgan Chase will likely underperform. Additionally JPMorgan Chase Co has an alpha of 9.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 9.19E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPMorgan Chase Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Chase
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Chase. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPMorgan Chase Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan Chase is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan Chase's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan Chase Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan Chase within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
JPMorgan Chase Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMorgan Chase for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMorgan Chase can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 JPMorgan Chase paid $ 1.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Frontview REIT chairman Stephen Preston buys 116,940 in shares |
JPMorgan Chase Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JPMorgan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JPMorgan Chase's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPMorgan Chase's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.8 B |
JPMorgan Chase Technical Analysis
JPMorgan Chase's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan Chase Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMorgan Chase Predictive Forecast Models
JPMorgan Chase's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan Chase's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan Chase's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPMorgan Chase
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMorgan Chase for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMorgan Chase help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 JPMorgan Chase paid $ 1.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Frontview REIT chairman Stephen Preston buys 116,940 in shares |
Check out JPMorgan Chase Backtesting, JPMorgan Chase Valuation, JPMorgan Chase Correlation, JPMorgan Chase Hype Analysis, JPMorgan Chase Volatility, JPMorgan Chase History as well as JPMorgan Chase Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JPMorgan Chase. If investors know JPMorgan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JPMorgan Chase listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.009 | Dividend Share 4.6 | Earnings Share 18 | Revenue Per Share 56.043 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
The market value of JPMorgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Chase's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Chase's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Chase's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Chase's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Chase's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Chase is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Chase's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.