Jupai Holdings Limited Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0389
| JPPYYDelisted Stock | USD 0.04 0.02 82.63% |
Jupai |
Jupai Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0389
The tendency of Jupai Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 37.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jupai Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.02 (This Jupai Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Jupai Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jupai Holdings Limited has a beta of -1.88. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Jupai Holdings Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Jupai Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Jupai Holdings Limited has an alpha of 3.7343, implying that it can generate a 3.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jupai Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jupai Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jupai Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jupai Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jupai Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jupai Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jupai Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jupai Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jupai Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Jupai Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jupai Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jupai Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jupai Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Jupai Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jupai Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 359.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (267.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 202.94 M. | |
| Jupai Holdings Limited has accumulated about 535.84 M in cash with (26.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Jupai Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jupai Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jupai Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jupai Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 194.9 M |
Jupai Holdings Technical Analysis
Jupai Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jupai Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jupai Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jupai Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jupai Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Jupai Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jupai Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jupai Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jupai Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jupai Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jupai Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jupai Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Jupai Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jupai Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 359.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (267.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 202.94 M. | |
| Jupai Holdings Limited has accumulated about 535.84 M in cash with (26.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.7, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Jupai Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Jupai Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Jupai Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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