Japan Petroleum Exploration Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 33.48
| JPTXFDelisted Stock | USD 30.44 0.00 0.00% |
Japan |
Japan Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over 33.48
The tendency of Japan OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 33.48 or more in 90 days |
| 30.44 | 90 days | 33.48 | about 31.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Japan Petroleum to move over $ 33.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.26 (This Japan Petroleum Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Japan OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Japan Petroleum Expl price to stay between its current price of $ 30.44 and $ 33.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Japan Petroleum Exploration has a beta of -0.7. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Japan Petroleum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Japan Petroleum Exploration is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Japan Petroleum Exploration has an alpha of 0.6092, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Japan Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Japan Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Petroleum Expl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Japan Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Japan Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Japan Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Japan Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Japan Petroleum Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Japan Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Japan Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Japan Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Japan Petroleum Expl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Japan Petroleum Expl is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Japan Petroleum Expl has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 249.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (30.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.9 B. | |
| Japan Petroleum Exploration has accumulated about 177.7 B in cash with (1.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Japan Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Japan OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Japan Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.6 M |
Japan Petroleum Technical Analysis
Japan Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Japan OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Japan Petroleum Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Japan OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Japan Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
Japan Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Japan Petroleum's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Japan Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Japan Petroleum Expl
Checking the ongoing alerts about Japan Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Japan Petroleum Expl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Japan Petroleum Expl is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Japan Petroleum Expl has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 249.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (30.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.9 B. | |
| Japan Petroleum Exploration has accumulated about 177.7 B in cash with (1.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Other Consideration for investing in Japan OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Japan Petroleum Expl check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Japan Petroleum's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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