Jeronimo Martins Sgps Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 37.49

JRONY Stock  USD 39.37  0.36  0.92%   
Jeronimo Martins' future price is the expected price of Jeronimo Martins instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jeronimo Martins SGPS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jeronimo Martins Backtesting, Jeronimo Martins Valuation, Jeronimo Martins Correlation, Jeronimo Martins Hype Analysis, Jeronimo Martins Volatility, Jeronimo Martins History as well as Jeronimo Martins Performance.
  
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Jeronimo Martins Target Price Odds to finish below 37.49

The tendency of Jeronimo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 37.49  or more in 90 days
 39.37 90 days 37.49 
about 30.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jeronimo Martins to drop to $ 37.49  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.15 (This Jeronimo Martins SGPS probability density function shows the probability of Jeronimo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jeronimo Martins SGPS price to stay between $ 37.49  and its current price of $39.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jeronimo Martins SGPS has a beta of -0.6. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jeronimo Martins are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jeronimo Martins SGPS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jeronimo Martins SGPS has an alpha of 0.2089, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jeronimo Martins Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jeronimo Martins

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jeronimo Martins SGPS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.9138.7440.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.4632.2942.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.7640.5942.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.9738.4439.91
Details

Jeronimo Martins Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jeronimo Martins is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jeronimo Martins' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jeronimo Martins SGPS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jeronimo Martins within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.6
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Jeronimo Martins Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jeronimo Martins for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jeronimo Martins SGPS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jeronimo Martins SGPS has accumulated 347 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jeronimo Martins SGPS has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jeronimo Martins until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jeronimo Martins' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jeronimo Martins SGPS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jeronimo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jeronimo Martins' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Jeronimo Martins Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jeronimo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jeronimo Martins' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jeronimo Martins' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding314.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Jeronimo Martins Technical Analysis

Jeronimo Martins' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jeronimo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jeronimo Martins SGPS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jeronimo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jeronimo Martins Predictive Forecast Models

Jeronimo Martins' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jeronimo Martins' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jeronimo Martins' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jeronimo Martins SGPS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jeronimo Martins for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jeronimo Martins SGPS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jeronimo Martins SGPS has accumulated 347 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jeronimo Martins SGPS has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jeronimo Martins until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jeronimo Martins' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jeronimo Martins SGPS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jeronimo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jeronimo Martins' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Jeronimo Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Jeronimo Martins' price analysis, check to measure Jeronimo Martins' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jeronimo Martins is operating at the current time. Most of Jeronimo Martins' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jeronimo Martins' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jeronimo Martins' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jeronimo Martins to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.