Jadestone Energy (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.84
| JSE Stock | 26.00 0.30 1.17% |
Jadestone |
Jadestone Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 25.84
The tendency of Jadestone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 25.84 or more in 90 days |
| 26.00 | 90 days | 25.84 | about 34.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jadestone Energy to drop to 25.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.78 (This Jadestone Energy probability density function shows the probability of Jadestone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jadestone Energy price to stay between 25.84 and its current price of 26.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jadestone Energy has a beta of -0.85. This indicates Additionally Jadestone Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jadestone Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jadestone Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jadestone Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jadestone Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jadestone Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jadestone Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jadestone Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jadestone Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Jadestone Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jadestone Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jadestone Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jadestone Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jadestone Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 309.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (102.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 180.9 M. | |
| Jadestone Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Jadestone Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jadestone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jadestone Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jadestone Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 499.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 152.4 M |
Jadestone Energy Technical Analysis
Jadestone Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jadestone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jadestone Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jadestone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jadestone Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Jadestone Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jadestone Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jadestone Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jadestone Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jadestone Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jadestone Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jadestone Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jadestone Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 309.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (102.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 180.9 M. | |
| Jadestone Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Jadestone Stock
Jadestone Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jadestone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jadestone with respect to the benefits of owning Jadestone Energy security.